Agriculture in a squeeze? – Modelling the combined impacts of rising food demand and climate change on land and water use
نویسندگان
چکیده
In the coming decades, world agricultural systems will face serious transitions. Population growth, income and lifestyle changes will lead to considerable increases in food demand. Moreover, a rising demand for renewable energy and biodiversity protection may restrict the area available for food production. On the other hand, global climate change will affect production conditions for better or worse depending on regional conditions. In order to simulate these combined effects in a spatially explicit way, we have linked the LPJ dynamic global vegetation model with an economic land allocation model. The paper presents the modelling approach and preliminary results.
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